Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.444216 2.672602 2.917586 3.200707 3.519866 3.869643 4.283505
2025-11-02 2.113704 2.423942 2.777799 3.214254 3.742199 4.365407 5.164552
2025-11-09 1.853864 2.196371 2.603997 3.130529 3.800933 4.637459 5.778697
2025-11-16 1.681788 2.044383 2.490765 3.089342 3.884438 4.924102 6.420516
2025-11-23 1.557346 1.934655 2.412713 3.074816 3.987590 5.232115 7.113190
2025-11-30 1.491503 1.891083 2.411347 3.154601 4.217018 5.726877 8.124759
2025-12-07 1.400556 1.805469 2.344547 3.134685 4.298910 6.012871 8.854332
2025-12-14 1.316216 1.721622 2.272063 3.097507 4.347479 6.247982 9.527042
2025-12-21 1.217732 1.611329 2.154179 2.983352 4.267204 6.271688 9.847436
2025-12-28 1.167729 1.565400 2.123668 2.994451 4.377654 6.604943 10.737772
2026-01-04 1.129440 1.533337 2.110230 3.028822 4.525563 7.011754 11.814809
2026-01-11 1.096032 1.505977 2.101249 3.068125 4.682998 7.448765 13.012026
2026-01-18 1.062440 1.477344 2.089811 3.104681 4.842825 7.914830 14.360418
2026-01-25 1.026489 1.443130 2.067590 3.121779 4.970462 8.337249 15.696295
2026-02-01 0.970943 1.376143 1.990326 3.041639 4.918292 8.414616 16.301292
2026-02-08 0.928924 1.327775 1.939498 3.002007 4.934707 8.624219 17.236107
2026-02-15 0.895582 1.291187 1.905275 2.988013 4.996281 8.928900 18.447097
2026-02-22 0.883291 1.286935 1.922811 3.064924 5.235385 9.624105 20.751074
2026-03-01 0.852725 1.252011 1.887877 3.045728 5.286311 9.927737 22.122051
2026-03-08 0.820996 1.213781 1.845415 3.009890 5.300732 10.152843 23.330490
2026-03-15 0.777508 1.154703 1.765159 2.899820 5.156537 10.007812 23.481666
2026-03-22 0.758375 1.134773 1.750450 2.910523 5.260503 10.440693 25.390917
2026-03-29 0.744193 1.122359 1.747891 2.943668 5.413847 11.008332 27.847370